Alternative Premier League table after eight games, based on expected goals
Oct. 07, 2019
There is, quite frankly, chaos in the Premier League right now.
We head into the international break with Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, and Everton all in crisis, while Crystal Palace are among the shock top four contenders, as we speak.
The wild results at the weekend included Brighton’s brilliant and deserved 3-0 victory over Spurs , and Man United’s loss to struggling Newcastle United .
Some results have been deserved this season but on other occasions clubs look like they have been a little bit lucky with the results falling their way.
Everton, according to ‘expected goals’ (xG), could have beaten Burnley with data suggesting the shot quality was worth a 1.31-0.56 win for Marco Silva’s side.
To get a better look at how sides are doing, the xG metric allows us to get a better picture of just how teams are performing.
What is expected goals? Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value. The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot. The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.
Here at talkSPORT.com we’re always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their stats.
And it turns out Everton might well feel aggrieved to be in the relegation zone in the real table.
Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
20. Newcastle United – Real position = 16
Real points = 8 | Expected points = 5.66
19. Norwich – Real position = 19
Real points = 6 | Expected points = 6.38
18. West Ham United – Real position = 8
Real points = 12 | Expected points = 7.64
17. Bournemouth – Real position = 10
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 8.21
16. Aston Villa – Real position = 15
Real points = 8 | Expected points = 9.34
15. Sheffield United – Real position = 13
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 9.50
14. Crystal Palace – Real position = 6
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 9.89
13. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 11
Real points = 10 | Expected points = 10.14
12. Burnley – Real position = 7
Real points = 12 | Expected points = 10.29
11. Leicester City – Real position = 4
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 10.77
10. Arsenal – Real position = 3
Real points = 15 | Expected points = 10.81
9. Tottenham – Real position = 9
Real points = 11 | Expected points = 10.83
8. Watford – Real position = 20
Real points = 3 | Expected points = 10.91
7. Southampton – Real position = 17
Real points = 15 | Expected points = 11.39
6. Brighton – Real position = 6
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 11.66
5. Everton – Real position = 18
Real points = 7 | Expected points = 11.75
4. Chelsea – Real position = 5
Real points = 14 | Expected points = 15.25
3. Manchester United – Real position = 12
Real points = 9 | Expected points = 16.02
2. Liverpool – Real position = 1
Real points = 24 | Expected points = 16.70
1. Manchester City – Real position = 2
Real points = 16 | Expected points = 18.41
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