Chiefs to stop rot at Mile High? Get NFL Thursday Night Football tips
Oct. 14, 2019
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos predictions for Thursday Night Football in Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season. Can the Kansas City Chiefs get back on track after back-to-back defeats or will the Denver Broncos pile on the misery for Patrick Mahomes & Co? Read on for all of our free predictions and betting tips.
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (Friday 01:20 BST)
It is not a gigantic surprise that one team goes into this Thursday Night Football matchup on a win streak while the other enters it on a losing run, but the that fact the Kansas City Chiefs are the team on the losing streak and the Denver Broncos are a team on a winning run is a pretty huge surprise.
Kansas City came into the season as one of the bookmakers’ favourites to go all the way and win the Super Bowl this season, so it was no surprise when they began their 2019 campaign by winning four straight games. They made straightforward work of Jacksonville and Oakland in the first two weeks to get off to the best possible start, but they had to earn their next two wins as they were forced to fend off a fourth quarter fightback to win their home opener against Baltimore before snatching a 34-30 victory in Detroit when Darrel Williams went in from a yard out with just 23 seconds to go. There would be no such heroics one week later as they surprisingly fell to a 19-13 defeat at home to Indianapolis, and Arrowhead was stunned once again a week later when Houston overcome several massive errors to claim a deserved 31-24 victory. The Chiefs did go into that matchup with injury problems and Patrick Mahomes did appear to re-aggravate his ankle in the loss, but head coach Andy Reid admitted his team’s biggest downfall for the second week running was a lack of discipline that resulted in drops and a long list of penalties which would have looked much worse had the Texans not declined four of them. Reid now has a very short timetable in which to get his team back on track, because week seven is a short one with a trip to Denver on the cards for Thursday Night Football.
While Kansas City are experiencing a slump, Denver have kick-started their season with back-to-back wins under first-year head coach Vic Fangio. The Broncos opened up with a disappointing defeat to Oakland before suffering a heart-breaking home loss to Chicago a week later, and things did not get much better after that as they tasted defeat at the hands of Green Bay and Jacksonville to slump to 0-4. Denver finally got off the mark in week five with a morale-boosting victory at the Los Angeles Chargers, and they then rode a strong defensive performance in week six to shut out Tennessee 16-0. Fangio’s team will need another strong defensive display to have any hope of upsetting Kansas City of Thursday night, because there is no way that Joe Flacco and this offense will be able to keep pace with Mahomes & Co, even if that Kansas City defense leaves a lot to be desired. And when I say ‘leaves a lot to be desired’, I am being generous. The Chiefs overhauled this unit in the offseason, having seen it be the Achilles heel that ultimately denied them a trip to the Super Bowl last season, but so far the results have not been impressive. They have been racking up turnovers, but they continue to get gashed both on the ground and through the air, and until they can fix that they are likely to see their wait for Super Bowl glory go beyond the current season. As the old saying goals, ‘defense wins championships’ and there is no way that this unit will be winning one in its current form.
However, having that explosive offense led by Mahomes means you can sometimes get away with not being able to keep the opposition off the board, and the talented young quarterback is starting to welcome back some key contributors from injury. Mahomes himself has been battling with a sprained ankle that he picked up in week one, but he remains effective with the aid of a whole host of weapons and as long as the Chiefs can avoid the mistakes and penalties that have plagued them over the past couple of weeks then they should be too good for a Broncos team whose most recent victory came against a team that offered absolutely nothing as an offensive threat. That is certainly not something we could say about this Chiefs offensive unit!
One of the biggest threats for Denver to contend with is returning wide receiver Tyreek Hill. Hill made a spectacular return from injury at the weekend as he leapt above two bigger defenders to haul in a 46-yard pass from Mahomes and then fight them off to find the endzone, and that was not the only time he found paydirt as he also escaped his man to snag a six-yard TD pass in the third. It was the fifth time that Hill has scored multiple touchdowns in a game since the start of the 2018 season, and it goes without saying that having him back in the mix on the offense is a massive boost for the Chiefs. Mahomes targeted the wide receiver 10 times on Sunday and I expect him to get plenty more targets again on Thursday night, with one of them resulting in another touchdown.
Tips to come…