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28 million elective surgeries may be cancelled worldwide: how non-COVID-19 medical care is suffering
May 27, 2020
28 million elective surgeries across the globe may be cancelled during 12 weeks of peak disruption during the COVID-19 pandemic. Study indicates that each extra week of disruption is associated with 2.4 million cancellations. 38% of global cancer surgery has been postponed or cancelled. Backlog could take 45 weeks to clear.
COVID-19’s long-lasting impact on our health could include more than 28 million cancelled or postponed operations , creating a backlog that will take the best part of a year to clear. And the number could be even worse if lockdowns continue for longer, according to a new study.
Using data from surgeons in 359 hospitals across 71 countries, CovidSurg Collaborative researchers, including those from the University of Birmingham, created a statistical model to estimate the total number of cancelled elective surgeries during 12 weeks of peak disruption in 190 countries. Their result was 2,367,050 operations per week.
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These numbers are likely to worsen for each additional week that the lockdown or restrictions continue, underscoring how COVID-19's widespread scars on health go beyond the direct impact of the virus. The United Nations has already warned that pregnancy and birth services will probably suffer , and some mass vaccination campaigns have been temporarily suspended.
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