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Dollar gains on hopes for trade, Fed on hold

Baako

Sept. 20, 2019

NEW YORK, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose against a basket of currencies on Friday, putting it on track for its first weekly increase in three, prompted by hopes of progress in U.S.-China trade talks and that the Federal Reserve would not lower rates aggressively.
Sterling retreated from a two-month high versus the greenback after the Irish foreign minister said that London and the European Union were not yet close to a Brexit deal.
U.S. and Chinese deputy trade negotiators are set to continue talks that began on Thursday in an effort to lay the groundwork for high-level discussions in early October that will determine whether the world's biggest economies can reach a trade deal.
While tariffs and worries about protracted supply-chain disruption have hampered global business activity, the U.S. economy is still faring relatively well, analysts said.
"The U.S. economy is clearly doing better than anyone else," said Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FX Street in New York. "I'm still in the stronger dollar camp."
With housing starts at a 12-year high and factory output rebounding in August, the longest U.S. expansion on record seems to have more legs, he said.
At 11:36 a.m. (1536 GMT), an index that tracks the dollar against a basket of six major currencies .DXY was up 0.31% at 98.58. It was on course to gain 0.3% on the week.
The euro EUR=EBS fell 0.34% on the day at $1.1003, while the greenback slipped 0.11% to 107.935 yen.
Against a favorable economic backdrop, the Fed lowered key lending rates by a quarter point on Wednesday, but signaled a higher bar to further reductions in borrowing costs.
Interest rates futures implied traders saw a 64% chance of another rate cut by year-end, compared with 69% late on Thursday, CME Group's FedWatch program showed.
Meanwhile, sterling was briefly the biggest gainer overnight against the dollar after European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said late Thursday he thought Brussels could reach agreement with Britain on its departure from the European Union.
Sterling's gains faded after Ireland's foreign minister's comments on a Brexit deal, and a Financial Times report that British Prime Minister Boris Johnson had told colleagues he did not expect to be able to reach full "legally operable" deal covering the Irish border at a meeting of EU leaders.
The pound GBP=D3 was down 0.19% at $1.2498 after touching a two-month high at $1.2582. It reached a four-month high of 87.875 pence EURGBP=D3 per euro before easing to 88.03 pence, up 0.11 on the day.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 11:34AM (1534 GMT)
Description
RIC
Last
U.S. Close Previous Session
Pct Change
YTD Pct Change
High Bid
Low Bid
Euro/Dollar
EUR=
$1.1000
$1.1040
-0.36%
-4.09%
+1.1068
+1.1001
Dollar/Yen
JPY=
107.9300
108.0000
-0.06%
-2.11%
+108.0800
+107.7800
Euro/Yen
EURJPY=
118.73
119.27
-0.45%
-5.93%
+119.3700
+118.7400
Dollar/Swiss
CHF=
0.9929
0.9927
+0.02%
+1.17%
+0.9935
+0.9891
Sterling/Dollar
GBP=
1.2492
1.2524
-0.26%
-2.08%
+1.2581
+1.2462
Dollar/Canadian
CAD=
1.3264
1.3260
+0.03%
-2.74%
+1.3300
+1.3255
Australian/Dollar
AUD=
0.6769
0.6789
-0.29%
-3.97%
+0.6809
+0.6770
Euro/Swiss
EURCHF=
1.0925
1.0960
-0.32%
-2.92%
+1.0969
+1.0923
Euro/Sterling
EURGBP=
0.8805
0.8814
-0.10%
-1.99%
+0.8845
+0.8788
NZ Dollar/Dollar
NZD=
0.6257
0.6301
-0.70%
-6.85%
+0.6308
+0.6258
Dollar/Norway
NOK=
9.0514
8.9783
+0.81%
+4.78%
+9.0519
+8.9656
Euro/Norway
EURNOK=
9.9552
9.9136
+0.42%
+0.50%
+9.9730
+9.9111
Dollar/Sweden
SEK=
9.7199
9.6858
-0.03%
+8.44%
+9.7272
+9.6612
Euro/Sweden
EURSEK=
10.6926
10.6960
-0.03%
+4.18%
+10.7195
+10.6880
FX market positions https://tmsnrt.rs/30att1o
(Additional reporting by Saikat Chatterjee in LONDON; Editing by Bernadette Baum)
(( richard.leong@thomsonreuters.com ; +1 646 223 6313; Reuters Messaging: richard.leong.thomsonreuters.com@thomsonreuters.net ; Twitter @RichardLeong2))
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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